March opinion poll: Greens, Liberals, and Christian Democrats below the election threshold

For the first time in almost two years, the Green Party (MDG) is below the election average threshold for March. The decline also continues for the Liberal Party (V) and the Christian Democrats (KRF).

According to “Poll of polls,” the Green Party received 3.6% of support in March, down from 4.5% in February. The decrease of 0.9% is within the margin of error. 

The party, which has a national meeting this weekend, has slowly but surely fallen in the opinion polls since the record poll of 6.7% in September 2019. 

But the party has not been below the election threshold since April the same year.

Conservatives on top

The downward trend continues for the Liberal Party and the Christian Democrats. The Christian Democrats got 3.1% of support, down by 0.1% from February, while the Liberal Party got 2.9%, down from 3.2% in February.

On the other hand, the Red Party (R) crossed the threshold by a good margin and rose from 3.9% in February to 4.5% in March.

At the other end of the scale, the Conservatives (H) are the largest party with 24% support. The result is still below the average for February, when the party received 25.6%.

However, the Labor Party (AP) is creeping upwards from 21.4% in February to 22.1% in March.

The Center Party (SP) is standing still at 19.3%, while the Socialist Left Party (SV) rose slightly from 7.4% to 7.7%.

Low “Sylvi effect” for Progress Party

For the Progress Party (FRP), the expected effect of Sylvi Listhaug taking over as party leader is currently quite modest. 

The party ended up at 9.7% of support, up by 1.2% from February. The result is still far from the support of 15% just over a year ago.

If the survey trends keep pace, the Norwegian parliament’s composition may be quite different this autumn. 

The Liberal Party and Christian Democrats would likely lose a total of twelve out of 16 representatives, the Progress Party would lose nine, while the Red Party would rise from one to eight representatives. 

The margin of error is between 0.4% and 0.9%. 

Source: © NTB Scanpix / #Norway Today / #NorwayTodayNews

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