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More than a thousand Norwegians are over 100

A country's oldest residents used to be countable on the fingers of a few hands. Now they fill a small town hall. According to figures from Statistics Norway, 886 women and 157 men in Norway had celebrated a full century of life, and more than 40 people had passed 105. The comparable count a year earlier was 829, and in 2005 it was 517 — a doubling inside a decade.

Medicine, but not only medicine

The first explanation is the obvious one: medicine. Conditions that were once fatal in a person's seventies are now managed for years, and the treatment of heart disease and stroke in particular has moved a great many deaths further up the age scale. But a doubling in ten years is too fast to be explained by hospitals alone.

The rest sits in ordinary life: fewer smokers, safer workplaces, warmer and drier housing, a welfare system that catches people before a fall becomes a decline, and a food supply that does not produce the deficiencies that shortened lives a century ago. Prosperity is not a treatment, but it is the environment in which treatments work.

The gender gap in the figures is the most striking single fact, and it is not a Norwegian peculiarity. Women outnumber men among centenarians almost everywhere, by a margin of roughly the same shape as the one in these numbers. Part of it is biology, part of it is the history of who smoked, who did dangerous work and who went to the doctor early.

What a thousand centenarians means in practice

Statistics like these are usually presented as a triumph, and they are one. They are also a planning document. People who live past 100 are, overwhelmingly, people who need housing that works without stairs, care that arrives at home, and a health service organised around several chronic conditions at once rather than a single acute one.

The number also quietly changes what the word “old” means. If a person retires in their sixties and lives to 100, retirement is not an epilogue but a third of a life. That is a question for pensions, for housing design, for whether municipalities build small flats near shops or large houses far from them, and for how much unpaid care is expected of children who are themselves pensioners.

The trend to watch

Every future projection of the Norwegian population has the same two features: more people at the top of the age pyramid, and fewer children at the bottom. The centenarian count is the most cheerful way to see the first half of that. The countries that handle it well will be the ones that treated the figure as a forecast rather than a curiosity — that built the housing, trained the care workers and organised the health service for it before the cohort arrived.

For now the number is worth reading for what it plainly is. More than a thousand people in one small country have lived through a century that included the arrival of electricity in ordinary homes, two wars and the internet. Whatever else the statistic measures, it measures a great deal of survived history.

TOPICS: ReiseguidenStavernSummer city 2016Year's

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