A forecast of life expectancy and causes of death worldwide in 2040 shows that inequalities will be leveled out. Improvement is also expected in Norway, but more in other countries.
The survey from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) is reproduced in the British journal The Lancet. According to specific figures for Norway that Aftenposten has accessed from the survey, life expectancy in Norway will rise by 1.4 years by 2040, but we will still fall in the world rankings. The expected life expectancy of the globe will increase by 4.4 years by 2040.
In 2016 life expectancy in Norway was, on average, 82.1 years, which qualified us for 12th place in world rankings. On top is Japan, Switzerland and Singapore, with a life expectancy of 83.7, 83.3 and 83.3, respectively.
If the researchers’ forecasts becomes reality, the ranking for 2040 shows that Norway will fall to a 20th place, with an expected life expectancy of 83.6 years. Spain will sails to the top with a life expectancy of 85.8 years, while Japan, Switzerland and Singapore follow close behind – all of them are assumed to be better than Norway.
What might be even more telling is that countries we usually compare ourselves with, such as Iceland, Sweden and Finland, which are presently in a 9th, 11th and 14th place respectively, will in the 2040 forecast be respectively in a 12th, 11th and 13th place – all with an expected life expectancy of 84 years on average.
Whilst the expectation of Norwegian life expectancy will increase by 1.4 years over this period, it is assumed to increase by 2.2 years for Finland, 1.9 for Sweden and 1.7 for Iceland.
© NTB scanpix / #Norway Today